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Fitch Solutions expects the global palm oil market to run a narrow 100,000-tonne deficit in 2022/23, the first annual net deficit since 2015/16. The deficit is driven by Indonesia's higher biofuel blending mandate, which it projects will cut Indonesian exports.
Fitch keeps its RM3,800 per tonne 2023 price forecast with upside risks.
A tighter global balance from Indonesian biodiesel demand reduces export supply and supports palm oil prices. Feed buyers should expect firm vegetable oil prices through 2023.
malaymail.comMar 2, 2023After 149 past bullish report events, Palm Oil moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (57% higher; middle half -1.1% to +1.8%), and +0.8% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
