
Kenanga Research expects palm oil demand to recover on stronger Asia-Pacific needs and improving biofuel policies. The brokerage forecasts 2023 palm output up 3% to 5% and keeps its 2023 CPO price estimate at RM3,800 a tonne, while raising its 2024 forecast to RM3,800.
A forecast of firm CPO prices through 2024 and smaller South American soybean supplies supports vegetable oil values. Buyers should expect edible oil prices to stay supported rather than fall.
After 149 past bullish report events, Palm Oil moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (57% higher; middle half -1.1% to +1.8%), and +0.8% over 20.
After 296 past bullish report events, Soybean Oil moved a median -0.0% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -1.8% to +2.0%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.