
USDA's GAIN report forecasts Canada's 2023-24 oilseed output to decline slightly, with canola rising to 18.3 MMT and soybeans falling to 6.3 MMT. Total meal production is expected to drop 3%, while oilseed exports fall 1.5% as more canola goes to domestic crushers.
Lower meal output alongside steady livestock protein demand supports meal prices, while reduced export volumes ease pressure on global canola supply.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 563 past neutral report events, Soybeans moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (48% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.6%), and -0.1% over 20.
After 250 past neutral report events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -1.6% to +1.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.