
Mecardo's analysis of the March ABARES report notes Australian wheat rose 2.6Mt to 39.19Mt, with NSW production lifted over 1Mt. Barley reached 14.1Mt on record yields and canola hit a record 8.2Mt.
Continued upward revisions point to a large Australian export pool through 2023, supporting bearish pressure on wheat and barley export values. Buyers can anticipate ample origin supply.
After 1,006 past bearish report events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -1.6% to +1.8%), and +0.3% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.