
The Federal Reserve raised its benchmark overnight rate by 25 basis points to the 4.75%-5.00% range on March 22, 2023, despite recent banking-sector stress. Ten of 18 policymakers still projected one more quarter-point hike by year-end.
A hike that signals the tightening cycle is nearly over tends to weaken the dollar, which supports dollar-priced commodities. The effect on feed prices is indirect and depends on how far the dollar moves.
After 1,637 past bearish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.3%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.