
Chilean and Peruvian currencies rose on April 18 after stronger-than-expected Chinese first-quarter GDP data lifted copper demand hopes. Brazil's real fell ahead of the government's proposed new fiscal framework going to Congress.
Stronger Chinese growth signals firmer Chinese demand for feed and industrial commodities, while a weaker real can make Brazilian soybean and corn exports more competitive, adding modest pressure to global feed grain prices.
After 301 past bullish macro events, Brazilian Real (BRL per USD) moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (57% higher; middle half -1.2% to +1.7%), and +1.0% over 20.
After 73 past neutral macro events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -1.9% to +2.1%), and -1.6% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.