
The South African rand jumped about 1.9% against the dollar after US data showed producer prices unexpectedly fell in March. The drop fuelled expectations that the Federal Reserve is nearing the end of its rate-hiking cycle.
A softer dollar tends to lift dollar-priced commodities and emerging-market currencies. Signs that the Fed is nearing the end of its hiking cycle could ease pressure on dollar-denominated grain prices.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 1,637 past bearish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.3%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.