Loading…

The yuan weakened on Wednesday in subdued trade ahead of the loan prime rate decision on April 20. Benchmark lending rates had been unchanged for seven months, and strong Q1 GDP and March retail sales reduced the chance of near-term rate cuts.
Expectations of no near-term Chinese rate cuts limit stimulus-driven demand for feed and commodities. The currency move itself is minor for grain prices.
After 398 past bullish macro events, Chinese Yuan (CNY per USD) moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (56% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.5%), and +0.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.