
Oil rose to about $85 a barrel after OPEC and allies announced cuts of about 1.16 million bpd. OPEC is pumping almost 1 million bpd below its output target, with shortfalls in Nigeria and Angola.
OPEC forecasts non-OPEC supply growth of 1.44 million bpd, short of expected demand growth of 2.32 million bpd.
Demand growth exceeding supply growth, combined with OPEC underproduction, supports a firmer crude market. This keeps energy and transport costs elevated for feed producers.
After 442 past bullish policy events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median +1.4% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -2.0% to +4.9%), and +2.1% over 20.
After 438 past bullish policy events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median +0.9% over 5 sessions (61% higher; middle half -2.2% to +4.6%), and +2.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.