
OPEC is expected to roll over its supply-cut deal at the Vienna meeting on July 1-2 and discuss deeper curbs. Iraq's oil minister said the rollover would at least keep current levels, and Algeria had floated a cut of about 600,000 bpd.
Exxon has also evacuated staff from an Iraqi oilfield for security reasons.
Expectations of a rollover with possible deeper cuts support crude prices. Energy costs feed into the diesel and fertilizer costs of feed production.
After 438 past bullish policy events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median +0.9% over 5 sessions (61% higher; middle half -2.2% to +4.6%), and +2.0% over 20.
After 442 past bullish policy events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median +1.4% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -2.0% to +4.9%), and +2.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.