AUD/USD reversed sharply on May 11, 2023, after US producer prices and jobless claims came in soft and above expectations respectively. The analysis suggests a US economic slowdown could spill into risk-sensitive commodity currencies.
The pair had reversed off the 0.6800 area.
A slowing US economy supports a stronger dollar in risk-off trade and reduces expectations for commodity demand. This is a routine currency commentary with limited direct effect on feed prices.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.