
Germany's inflation rate fell to its lowest level in more than a year, according to official data released on May 31. The decline joined similar cooling reports from other major euro zone economies.
Cooling euro zone inflation reduces pressure on the ECB to keep hiking, which tends to weaken the euro and strengthen the dollar, lifting dollar-denominated commodity costs for importers.
After 533 past bearish macro events, Euro (USD per EUR) moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (33% higher; middle half -1.2% to +0.2%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.