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The FAO expects global wheat output in 2023/24 at about 785 million tonnes, the second-highest on record but below 2022/23 because of lower crops in Australia and Russia. The USDA's first forecast puts Russia's wheat harvest at 81.5 million tonnes, while Russian export potential rises to 45.5 million tonnes.
The article also cites a rebound in EU soft wheat forecasts and drought damage in Spain and Portugal.
A smaller Russian and Australian crop is supportive for prices, but a larger EU crop and higher Russian exports offset that effect. The net result is a mixed outlook for wheat, with the balance depending on Black Sea and Australian weather.
tridge.comVictor LangatMay 19, 2023After 406 past neutral report events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.6% to +1.5%), and +0.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
