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The Panama Canal Authority will restrict neo-Panamax container ships to a 43.5-foot draft from June 25, down from 44.0 feet, because drought has lowered water levels. Some large vessels have already cut container loads by about 25% since May, and the canal received 47% below-average rainfall in the first five months of the year.
Grain is the second-largest commodity moving through the canal, so shallower drafts raise freight costs and reduce cargo per ship on US Gulf to Asia routes. This adds to upward pressure on export logistics costs for corn, soybeans and sorghum.
world-grain.comJohn ReidyJun 22, 2023Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 359 past bearish logistics events, Corn moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -1.5% to +1.5%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 297 past bearish logistics events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.5% to +1.8%), and +0.7% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
