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Bulk grain shippers moving U.S. Gulf crops to Asia are taking longer routes and paying higher freight costs to avoid congestion and record transit fees at the drought-hit Panama Canal. Wait times for grain vessels rose from about five to seven days in October to around 20 days by late November.
The Baltic Dry Index spiked to a 1.5-year high.
Longer routes and scarce canal slots raise freight costs for U.S. corn and soybean exports to Asia, which lowers FOB prices for U.S. origin and supports Brazilian and other origin competitiveness.
reuters.comKarl PlumeDec 11, 2023After 359 past bearish logistics events, CORN moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -1.5% to +1.5%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 297 past bearish logistics events, SOY moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.5% to +1.8%), and +0.7% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
