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The August Nymex natural gas contract expired at $2.492/MMBtu after falling 17.3 cents on the day. EIA reported a 16 Bcf storage injection, leaving inventories well above the five-year average.
Robust production and ample storage keep US gas prices subdued, which lowers energy and fertilizer feedstock costs for the domestic feed chain.
After 62 past bearish report events, Natural Gas moved a median -3.0% over 5 sessions (42% higher; middle half -7.6% to +4.6%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.