The Henry Hub spot contract for May fell to a two-week low below $1.60/MMBtu, and the futures curve showed a wide contango between front-month and summer/winter contracts. Analysts expected a weekly EIA storage injection of about 64 bcf, nearly triple the five-year average.
Storage builds well above normal signal oversupply in the near term, pressuring front-month gas prices while winter contracts hold a premium.
After 62 past bearish report events, Natural Gas moved a median -3.0% over 5 sessions (42% higher; middle half -7.6% to +4.6%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.