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The rupiah strengthened only modestly against the US dollar after China's official manufacturing PMI came in at 49.7, close to the 49.1 forecast and still in contraction for a fifth month. Services PMI was 51 against 51.1 expected.
Weaker-than-expected US second-quarter GDP revision and ADP jobs data also weighed on the dollar.
Persistent Chinese manufacturing weakness signals softer import demand from Indonesia's largest trading partner, which limits currency support and pressures export-linked commodity demand. Weaker US data reduces Fed tightening fears, a modest offset for emerging-market currencies.
antaranews.comM Baqir Idrus AlatasAug 31, 2023Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 1,637 past bearish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.3%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
