
Export prices of MAP have risen steadily since mid-June, with FOB China 11-44-0 at $370-385 per ton and 10-50-0 at $427-446 per ton. Strong Brazilian demand ahead of the September-October planting season, tight US supply and rising ammonia costs are pushing prices higher.
Brazilian pre-planting buying and tight supply support firm phosphate prices into the fall, increasing fertilizer costs for farmers and feed grain production.
After 193 past bullish trade events, DAP moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -0.3% to +1.8%), and +1.9% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.