
Traders are selling the euro as speculation grows that the ECB's rate-hike cycle is nearly over while inflation remains well above target. The euro fell as much as 0.4% to $1.0885 on Thursday, more than 3% below its July peak.
Several banks now see it falling toward $1.05.
A weaker euro generally lifts the dollar and can make US exports such as soybean meal and corn less competitive in Europe, adding modest downward pressure on US feed prices. Stagflation concerns may also slow European livestock and feed demand.
After 533 past bearish macro events, Euro (USD per EUR) moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (33% higher; middle half -1.2% to +0.2%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.