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The dollar index retreated slightly to 104.12 from a 12-week high, after Powell's Jackson Hole remarks hinted at possible further rate adjustments. Markets priced an 80% chance of the Fed holding next month and a 51% chance of a November hike.
Powell highlighted progress on inflation alongside U.S. economic strength.
The balance between a possible November hike and a likely pause keeps the dollar range-bound, which limits the direct price impact on dollar-priced feed commodities. Any firm signal of further tightening would support the dollar.
fxempire.comJames HyerczykAug 28, 2023After 359 past neutral macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.0% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -0.4% to +0.4%), and -0.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
