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A Reuters poll of FX strategists expects the dollar to weaken slightly over the next 12 months, though they generally view it as overvalued. Analysts have repeatedly predicted dollar weakness, but the dollar index was up 2.9% year to date at the time of the poll.
The forecast suggests modest support for dollar-priced commodities over the next year, but the timing is uncertain. Persistently high US rates keep the dollar strong, which limits export price support.
reuters.comHari KishanJun 5, 2024After 359 past neutral macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.0% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -0.4% to +0.4%), and -0.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
