
U.S. crude futures gained more than $2 a barrel on August 31, rising for a third straight month. Brent October expired up $1 at $86.86 and WTI October settled at $83.63.
Traders expected OPEC+ cuts, led by Saudi Arabia, to continue through the end of 2023.
Expected extension of OPEC+ output cuts tightens crude supply and supports higher diesel and energy costs, which feed into freight and fertilizer prices for feed producers.
After 487 past bullish macro events, WTI moved a median +1.0% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -2.0% to +4.0%), and +1.5% over 20.
After 323 past bullish macro events, BRENT moved a median +0.7% over 5 sessions (58% higher; middle half -2.9% to +3.7%), and +1.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.