
The EU crop monitoring service MARS cut its soft wheat, grain maize and rapeseed yield forecasts for a third consecutive month. It warned of significant wheat quality losses after almost daily rain in north-western France, the Benelux and south-western Germany.
Quality downgrades push more wheat into feed channels and reduce EU maize yield expectations, supporting feed grain prices.
After 1,072 past bullish weather events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (55% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.3%), and +0.3% over 20.
After 1,465 past bullish weather events, Corn moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.9%), and +0.9% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.