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Emerging market currencies were on track to erase their 2023 gains, with the Brazilian real among the day's biggest decliners and set for its longest losing streak in over two years. Concerns about China's growth, higher-for-longer US rates and a crude oil rally drove the selloff.
A broad emerging-market currency slump weakens Brazilian export competitiveness for soy and corn and raises the cost of imported feed inputs in local currency, which can weigh on Brazilian export prices.
moneycontrol.comSep 28, 2023After 301 past bullish macro events, Brazilian Real (BRL per USD) moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (57% higher; middle half -1.2% to +1.7%), and +1.0% over 20.
After 117 past bearish macro events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.6% over 5 sessions (41% higher; middle half -2.5% to +1.7%), and +0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
