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An analysis piece argues that hedge funds remain heavily long the euro and that rate differentials and a weak euro zone outlook will push the currency lower. It notes the euro is about 6% above dollar parity.
A weaker euro strengthens the dollar, which can pressure dollar-denominated feed commodity prices and shift export competitiveness between the U.S. and Europe.
reuters.comJamie McGeeverSep 14, 2023After 533 past bearish macro events, Euro (USD per EUR) moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (33% higher; middle half -1.2% to +0.2%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
