The Federal Reserve kept its federal funds target at 5.25-5.50% at its September meeting, skipping a hike for the second time since tightening began in March 2022. Inflation rose to 3.7% in August while the labor market remained robust with 187,000 jobs added.
A hold with a possible further hike keeps the dollar supported and financing costs high, which tends to weigh on commodity prices priced in dollars. The effect on feed commodities is indirect and moderate.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.