Oil dipped about 1% on Nov 23 as OPEC+ postponed its ministerial meeting to Nov 30, with members Angola and Nigeria pushing for higher output. Brent fell to $81.28 and WTI to $76.35 after sharp intraday losses.
Doubt over OPEC+ supply discipline weighs on crude prices, which lowers diesel costs but also weakens the outlook for biofuel demand.
After 255 past bearish geopolitics events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median -2.4% over 5 sessions (31% higher; middle half -7.0% to +1.7%), and -5.0% over 20.
After 250 past bearish geopolitics events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median -3.1% over 5 sessions (36% higher; middle half -7.9% to +1.6%), and -5.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.