
Prime Minister Modi announced that India will extend its free food grains programme by five years. Reuters reports that the government will need to keep export restrictions on wheat and rice in place for longer because it must buy grain for the programme.
Government procurement for the free grain scheme keeps domestic supply committed and extends export restrictions, which supports global wheat and rice prices.
After 182 past bullish policy events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.9% to +1.4%), and -0.3% over 20.
After 168 past bullish policy events, Rough Rice moved a median +0.8% over 5 sessions (57% higher; middle half -1.7% to +2.1%), and -0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.