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The Federal Reserve is taking a more cautious policy stance as the risks to the economy become more two-sided. A New York Fed staff study suggested that the late start to rate hikes allowed growth to continue while inflation fell.
Policymakers showed little willingness to declare victory or give firm guidance on the next move.
Uncertainty about the path of interest rates keeps the dollar and energy prices volatile, which feeds through to feed input costs. A cautious Fed reduces the chance of a sharp dollar move in either direction in the near term.
reuters.comHoward SchneiderNov 21, 2023After 359 past neutral macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.0% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -0.4% to +0.4%), and -0.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
