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The Fed held rates unchanged on January 31, 2024, while signalling that cuts are likely this year and that it needs more confidence inflation will reach 2%. USD/JPY dropped to around 146.00 after a risk-off reaction, then pulled back in choppy trade.
Markets priced a high chance of a first cut by May.
A softer dollar and a firmer yen lower the local-currency cost of USD-priced feed grains and meal for Japan, which can support import demand. Dollar weakness also tends to lend modest support to dollar-denominated grain prices.
fxstreet.comJoshua GibsonJan 31, 2024Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 1,637 past bearish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.3%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
