
CBOT soybeans and meal fell last week, with the bearish USDA report on January 12 extending losses. Soybeans dropped 32 cents per bushel and meal fell $7 per ton over the week.
US ending soybean stocks were raised from 245 to 280 million bushels on a higher yield of 50.6 bushels per acre.
Higher US stocks and steady South American output remove near-term bullish catalysts for soybean meal, keeping feed protein costs soft. Prices are likely to stay pressured until the next USDA update.
After 788 past bearish report events, Soybeans moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.0% to +1.5%), and -0.9% over 20.
After 399 past bearish report events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.4% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -2.4% to +1.2%), and -1.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.