The yen gained on February 29 after Bank of Japan board member Hajime Takata signalled a nimble exit from ultra-loose policy and warned about intervention. The dollar eased modestly, pushing USD/JPY back toward 150 ahead of the U.S. PCE inflation release.
Yen strength and a softer dollar generally support dollar-priced commodities, but the move is modest. Traders are focused on U.S. inflation data, which matters more for grain pricing.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 1,637 past bearish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.3%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.