EUR/USD rose to a fresh daily high near 1.0850 on Monday as ECB officials pushed back against early rate cuts and some USD selling emerged. Traders remained cautious ahead of eurozone flash CPI and US core PCE data.
Currency moves of this size have a limited direct effect on feed grain prices, but a firmer euro against the dollar slightly lowers the dollar cost of European-sourced feed ingredients.
After 388 past bullish macro events, Euro (USD per EUR) moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -0.4% to +1.1%), and +0.1% over 20.
After 1,637 past bearish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.3%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.