
Consus Ag Consulting analyst Angie Setzer says global corn production in 2024 is uncertain, with Brazil's safrinha crop, Argentina's crop planted in December, and the US crop all still at risk. Brazilian crop estimates show a wide range due to weather challenges.
She expects a floor under prices despite burdensome supplies.
Weather uncertainty in South America and the US supports corn prices and could reverse the current slide if yields disappoint. Buyers should consider forward coverage given the risk of a rebound.
After 1,465 past bullish weather events, Corn moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.9%), and +0.9% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.