
Rabobank's latest quarterly pork report forecasts a decline or flat production in China, the US and parts of Europe in 2024 as sow herds contract. It also expects a possible contraction in global pork trade in the first half, while corn and soybean prices are down 15% to 25% over the past year.
Lower feed costs help producer margins, but a weaker pork export outlook and high inventories could limit demand for feed grains and meals in the near term.
After 1,102 past bearish report events, Corn moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.8% to +1.3%), and +0.0% over 20.
After 788 past bearish report events, Soybeans moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.0% to +1.5%), and -0.9% over 20.
After 61 past neutral report events, Lean Hogs moved a median -0.4% over 5 sessions (48% higher; middle half -1.3% to +1.8%), and +2.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.