
From 30 December 2024, EU rules will require products to come from land not deforested after 31 December 2020, comply with producer-country law, and carry a due diligence statement. The regulation covers cattle, cocoa, coffee, oil palm, rubber, soya and wood, with traceability required across the supply chain.
Upstream and downstream traceability requirements could reduce EU-bound palm oil and soy volumes or raise their costs, which tends to pressure prices for these commodities in origin markets.
After 400 past bearish policy events, Palm Oil moved a median -0.0% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -1.3% to +1.1%), and +0.2% over 20.
After 369 past bearish policy events, Soybeans moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (46% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.8%), and +0.8% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.