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Forex.com argues that the US dollar could be undervalued if commodities keep rising, because rising commodities are inflationary. That would reduce the central bank room to cut rates, and the Fed may not cut at all this year.
Persistent commodity inflation could delay rate cuts and keep the dollar firm, which would cap dollar-denominated commodity prices. The link to feed markets is indirect.
forex.comMatt SimpsonMar 19, 2024After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
