Loading…
The American Farm Bureau analysis examines Panama Canal water shortages and Houthi attacks in the Red Sea, which have severely limited two major maritime chokepoints. Roughly 91% of US sorghum exports, 29% of soybean exports and 18% of corn exports transited Panama in FY2023.
Restricted Panama transits raise freight costs and delay US Gulf sorghum and soybean shipments to Asia, which can widen US basis versus Brazil and support Gulf export spreads.
fb.orgBetty ResnickMar 1, 2024Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 297 past bearish logistics events, SOY moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.5% to +1.8%), and +0.7% over 20.
After 359 past bearish logistics events, CORN moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -1.5% to +1.5%), and -0.5% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
