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Low Mississippi River levels, caused by Midwest and Southern dryness, are limiting barge navigation as farmers seek storage and marketing options for newly harvested crops. The Army Corps reported the St. Louis stage at 1.13 feet in late August, 46% below the three-year average.
Higher barge freight costs push more of the transport expense onto farmers and widen interior basis, pressuring local corn and soybean cash prices relative to futures.
fb.orgDaniel MunchSep 28, 2023Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 359 past bearish logistics events, Corn moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -1.5% to +1.5%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 297 past bearish logistics events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.5% to +1.8%), and +0.7% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
