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The rupee was approaching record lows near 83.44 to 83.48 against the dollar, pressured by a strong dollar, higher crude prices and expectations of fewer Fed rate cuts. A decline in the Chinese yuan was also weighing on the rupee, given India's large trade deficit with China.
Higher crude prices and a stronger dollar raise the cost of imported energy and feed inputs for India, while a weaker yuan signals softer Chinese demand sentiment.
moneycontrol.comAdrija ChatterjeeApr 4, 2024Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 487 past bullish macro events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median +1.0% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -2.0% to +4.0%), and +1.5% over 20.
After 398 past bullish macro events, Chinese Yuan (CNY per USD) moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (56% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.5%), and +0.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
