
A Bloomberg dollar index has gained more than 4% year to date, with the greenback rising against all major developed and emerging-market currencies. Vanguard and UBS now expect sustained dollar strength as US growth outpaces the G7 and inflation keeps the Fed on hold.
Sustained dollar strength raises import costs for emerging-market feed buyers and tends to pressure dollar-quoted grain and oilseed prices.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.