Industry players at the Palm and Lauric Oils Conference 2024 voiced concern over limited supply growth from Indonesia and Malaysia, with many speakers expecting crude palm oil to break above RM4,000 per ton near term. Most experts expected prices to trade lower in the second half of 2024, while local planters guided to double-digit production growth.
The EU Deforestation Regulation was highlighted as a key demand factor.
Limited supply growth and EUDR compliance costs support palm prices, though expected second-half softening and planter output growth cap the upside.
After 548 past bullish policy events, Palm Oil moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (61% higher; middle half -0.7% to +2.1%), and +0.9% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.