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ICE Brent and NYMEX WTI crude traded in a narrow range as tensions between Iran and Israel eased and both sides appeared to consider their strikes concluded. The US and Europe were preparing new sanctions against Iran, which were not expected to affect supply immediately.
The Federal Reserve signalled rates may stay higher for longer.
Lower geopolitical risk premium and higher-for-longer rates weigh on energy prices, which feed into diesel and freight costs for feed producers. Sanctions could tighten supply later.
think.ing.comEwa Manthey, Warren PattersonApr 23, 2024After 63 past neutral geopolitics events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median -0.5% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -4.4% to +2.6%), and -2.7% over 20.
After 60 past neutral geopolitics events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median -0.9% over 5 sessions (43% higher; middle half -4.7% to +2.3%), and -1.9% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
