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India has asked global and domestic trade houses to avoid buying new-season wheat in order to rebuild state stocks. The country banned wheat exports in 2022 and aims to bolster supplies after dry weather hurt output in 2022 and 2023.
A request to avoid buying new-crop wheat keeps Indian import demand out of the market and reinforces export restrictions, which weighs on international wheat price strength.
After 122 past bearish policy events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -1.9% to +1.2%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.