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Citi Indonesia economist Helmi Arman said that if the Fed does not cut rates as projected from the third quarter of 2024, US Treasury yield volatility could pull capital from emerging markets including Indonesia. He warned this would weaken the rupiah and force Bank Indonesia to intervene more heavily.
Delayed Fed cuts would keep the dollar firm and pressure the rupiah, raising feed import costs in Indonesia.
liputan6.comTira SantiaMay 24, 2024Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
