
The rupiah weakened 0.19% to Rp15,625 per dollar on 1 November, its lowest level since mid-April 2020. Markets were awaiting the Federal Reserve's decision on 2 November, with a 75 basis point hike widely expected, though a smaller move was possible.
Technical analysts flagged the rupiah's break above its 50-day moving average as a sign of further pressure.
The rupiah trading near multi-year lows raises the cost of dollar-denominated feed ingredients for Indonesia. The Fed's expected rate path also points to continued dollar strength against emerging-market currencies.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.