
China's yuan weakened after the May manufacturing PMI unexpectedly contracted to 49.5 from 50.4, missing estimates. The PBOC set a firmer midpoint, but spot yuan traded about 92 pips weaker than the prior close.
Weak Chinese manufacturing and a softer yuan point to slower demand and pricier dollar-denominated feed imports, bearish for commodity demand from China.
After 398 past bullish macro events, Chinese Yuan (CNY per USD) moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (56% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.5%), and +0.0% over 20.
After 273 past bearish macro events, Soybeans moved a median -0.4% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -2.4% to +1.4%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.