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Asian buyers have signed about ten long-term LNG contracts since January 2024, with three or more linked to Henry Hub. Buyers are renegotiating Brent-linked deals because JKM prices have fallen below Brent-linked LNG prices.
Henry Hub forward curves are seen reaching $4-5/MMBtu over 2027-28.
Rising Henry Hub-linked long-term contracts point to firmer US gas prices in the medium term. Shifting pricing away from crude-linked formulas reduces buyers' exposure to oil-driven swings.
spglobal.comMelody Li, Margaret RogersJun 1, 2024After 59 past bullish trade events, Natural Gas moved a median +1.3% over 5 sessions (61% higher; middle half -2.7% to +10.6%), and +8.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
