
DairyReporter summarized the May WASDE, noting a 2.5 million tonne cut to US 2023/24 corn stocks on higher ethanol and export expectations. The 2024/25 US corn harvest was forecast at 377.5 million tonnes, and global corn stocks were 5.1 million tonnes below investor forecasts.
Ukraine's 2024/25 corn crop was cut 4 million tonnes to 27 million.
Lower global corn stocks and a smaller Ukrainian crop tighten export supply, which supports feed corn prices. Soybean stocks were slightly above expectations, which limits soy price gains.
After 1,040 past bullish report events, Corn moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -0.9% to +2.0%), and +0.8% over 20.
After 563 past neutral report events, Soybeans moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (48% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.6%), and -0.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.